Most in the sector said they had yet to see any immediate change to their trading following last Thursday’s referendum, but a number expressed concern to TTG about what impact Brexit would have on their business in the coming months.
A survey of Aito’s 125 members after the referendum found that 50% expected their businesses to suffer a “great” or “huge” adverse impact in the wake of the vote.
Members said that they were anticipating even more of an adverse impact for the winter 2016-17 season, with operators worried that uncertainty combined with a weak pound could reduce demand over the coming months.
Consultant Andy Cooper said package prices this summer should not be affected directly by the slump in the value of the pound since the Brexit decision, but said holidaymakers would likely bear the brunt once in resort.
“Prices for packages are pretty much fixed with the euro priced in, but there will be an impact for holidaymakers on the ground because of the weaker pound.”
Cooper also warned the late bookings market would likely take a hit. “There may be more of a psychological impact with people deciding not to book holidays because of all the uncertainty. If that happens, then operators might need to push their prices to encourage bookings.”
Alan Bowen, legal advisor to the Association of Atol Companies, said tour operators may have to increase prices for their 2017 programmes in order to make up the shortfall experienced by the pound’s depreciation against the dollar.
Brexit to redefine the bookings landscape
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